Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page.

Exit poll results for 2024 presidential primaries and caucuses. 2024 election guide: Presidential candidates, polls, primaries and caucuses, voter information and results for November 5, 2024

Both Harris and Trump have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to win.

Explore up-to-date 2024 presidential general election polls. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends.

The Economist ’s model of America’s presidential election estimates each major candidate’s chances of winning each state and the overall electoral college.

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 50 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election. Trump wins 49 times out of 100. There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.

The most recent polls for the 2024 presidential election. Includes links to all available 2024 polls and polling averages.

Ahead of the 2024 presidential election, Morning Consult is conducting thousands of surveys every day, asking U.S. voters if they plan to vote for Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump in November, as well as how they view these candidates and other top political figures.

An in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the election.