See the latest polls and predictions for the 2024 presidential election between Harris and Trump. Harris has a 54% chance of winning the Electoral College, according to 538's model that uses polling, economic and demographic data.

This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue. As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024.

The model simulates the electoral college outcome based on polls, economy, history and demographics. It shows a close race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with the latter having a slight edge.

Polls begin to close in parts of the country at 7 p.m. ET and continue throughout the 1 a.m. ET hour on Thursday. Who is ahead in the polls of the 2024 U.S. election? Harris vs. Trump. Here's a ...

The Final Forecast. Entering Election Day, Donald Trump is a slight favorite to win the 2024 election, though the outcome is effectively a toss-up. Neither candidate is clearly favored in enough states to secure the 270 electoral votes needed, with Trump currently at 219 and Harris at 226, and 93 votes dispersed across seven “tossup” states.

Editor's note: This page reflects the news on the campaign trail for the 2024 election Tuesday, Nov. 5. For the latest news and results from the presidential election, read USA TODAY's live ...

Alert to election watchers: On Oct. 29, Miller unveiled a new site that continuously displays the electoral vote count that the PredictIt odds suggest each candidate is winning.

Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. There are a wide range of possible outcomes for the 2024 presidential election.

A composite of ratings by several forecasters for the 2024 presidential election. See the interactive map, polling data, and news headlines for the latest trends and predictions.